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Published by jack elliot

What's been missing from most of the scientific and other advice that  have been seen, particularly earlier in the pandemic, has been an evaluation of risk in the case of the uncertainties that we faced.

For example it wasn't clear whether or not the virus was being spread by aerosol, and whether an asymptomatic person could spread the virus despite not knowing they had it.

What was clear was that we faced a contagious respiratory virus that killed in an unpleasant way.

The only rational response in the face of a potential but near-unquantifiable death toll was to assume the worst, ie that it was spread through aerosol and by asymptomatic carriers.

The countries that made this assumption have done best.

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